So, many of our subscribers read my long letter for the Monday commentary and came away confused.
Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Futures Were Zero at Opening
Monday, November 29, 2010
Alternative News
To all of you as subscribers each week we try to provide alternative news opinions on a lightening fast changing. Take time to read them, as the more you study the market; really study it, the more you will know. The more you learn in books, and courses, will hold best with you if you are privately mentored, spent time with in trading with you, is all what we write about in this commentary.
When you receive alerts from Blue Chip during the week they will be around discussion of our current positions, new buy and trades, and general interests. Short and sweet.
Same with OEX. Facts out there. Signals issued and reported and the same 8 step process that our Daily Pre-Market Alert puts in as discipline.
We twitter everyday updates on Support/Resistance/Pivots on our Dow Projections, allowing you to day trade really any moving stock index or blue chip stock that has volatility.
Tuesday, November 23, 2010
All of This Simply Smells Bad
We are combining alerts in this shortened week and will have only this alert for the week.
Volume on the exchange will be very light and we see trade range moves that will hold the market barely up for Thanksgiving optimism.
NOTE: This is the only alert you will receive for OEX or Blue Chip for this shortened trading week, which we assume from history will be very light, as influential traders are already in the Hamptons.
The Bullish percent index is one of the best indicators of small investor and institutional investment.
Everyone is bullish.
Equities are considered under value.
Most trading specialists and analysts believe the market, although it may correct, has much farther to go up.
Perhaps. But with a Bullish Percent indicator this high we have more caution, and suspicion.
Add to this that traveling last week I heard numerous times that “now things would get straightened out,” a theory showing no understand of the gridlock this nation is in.
These are Fox TV children, clamoring for more Mac and Cheese.
All of this simply smells bad and has us hesitate. When the bullish percentage indicator goes above 70 we become concerned not just of oversold conditions but that euphoria has taken over.
We have sold a great number of stocks and options at great profits and never push our luck
It is time to sit back on hands and wait
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You all know me so I won't explain.
The fucking idiots in Washington, led by Pee Partiers and others that want to "improve our standard of education" through testing are trying a time proven to fail approach. Uniform testing is not reasonable in a country of small towns, big cities, multi cultural, multi language, and it makes good teachers all want to quit.
Our 28-year daughter, a masters in Education, is in her 6th year teaching. Her middle school class (11 year old average) has kids up to 15 years that have failed many times, kids from other countries that come in legally and speak no to little English. There is no way someone could provide testing of reason to this varied a class.
So, the education system will likely lose one of its best teachers, because she values individualism and creativity, what real education is about.
America is NOT white people with all good kids and great family values, nor is all-Christian. America is going through massive change right now. Let's not be led by "false facts" to make our education "better" when, in fact, it does not.
This movie is the real thing:
http://failingschools.
Fight our politicians and "value leaders" in the Pee Party. Help the world understand we are part of the world. Perhaps our educational system is broken, but standardizing a test is much like a really stupid version of human prohibition.
Each week we provide our Dow Projections, based on the theoretical Dow.
The theoretical Dow is much like an exponential analysis, where it evenly skews all 30 stocks in the Dow, not just a high mover.
A simple way to understand the theoretical Dow is:
High of the Day-add 40 points
Low of the Day- subtract 40 points
Close of the Day-Add or subtract 40 points to the close, dependent upon the swing of the close
We base our Dow projections on PNF charting, historical data, and Floydian intuition.
“Floyd, I have paid for Level 3 for three years and have made more money off your Dow projections than any other indicator or tool I’ve ever seen. I now trade full time the OEX, S&P, and Dow in day trades all around the Dow projections and the support and resistance lines. As you have taught me (and boy did I fight it) the actual option chosen your signal, is the least important part of the study
FYR-Buffalo NY”
Sunday, November 21, 2010
Something Smells Bad
All of this simply smells bad and has us hesitate. When the bullish percentage indicator goes above 70 we become concerned not just of oversold conditions but that euphoria has taken over.
We have sold a great number of stocks and options at great profits and never push our luck
It is time to sit back on hands and wait
___________________
You all know me so I won't explain.
The fucking idiots in Washington, led by Pee Partiers and others that want to "improve our standard of education" through testing are trying a time proven to fail approach. Uniform testing is not reasonable in a country of small towns, big cities, multi cultural, multi language, and it makes good teachers all want to quit.
Our 28-year daughter, a masters in Education, is in her 6th year teaching. Her middle school class (11 year old average) has kids up to 15 years that have failed many times, kids from other countries that come in legally and speak no to little English. There is no way someone could provide testing of reason to this varied a class.
So, the education system will likely lose one of its best teachers, because she values individualism and creativity, what real education is about.
America is NOT white people with all good kids and great family values, nor is all-Christian. America is going through massive change right now. Let's not be led by "false facts" to make our education "better" when, in fact, it does not.
Friday, November 19, 2010
I Tire of our Stupidity
We will not trade a put, but will continue to hold the call for what we think will be more upside.
However, the "breakdown" was inconsistent, on relatively low volume, and primarily played around Ireland's cash issues, and China, as always.
I wanted you to first see how futures showed at 6.30 a..m. EST
For the stupid, the market must do well first before we can re-employ
For the stupid, for every article we import, we export two, and we increase jobs.
For the stupid, the deficit was 80% of what it is now before Obama came to office.
For the stupid, one can never listen to the American people on intellect; for God's sake, we watch reality TV shows.
It's time to start finding articulate and educated people to listen to. Don't blame the press; we love this dribble. Why else would FOX be first, a Murdoch station made up of lies and lack of parallels.
Ok, I feel better. I tire of our stupidity.
Our Nov550C immediately rose to near a break even by 10 a.m.
FCIC Delays Probe Report Amid Republican Opposition
Nov. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Democrats on the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, the panel assigned to probe the worst U.S. economic collapse since the Great Depression, voted to delay the group’s final report on its findings amid Republican opposition.
The report will be available in January, rather than Dec. 15 as previously scheduled, FCIC Chairman Phil Angelides wrote in letters sent yesterday to President Barack Obama and members of Congress. The panel will conclude its operations on Feb. 13 as required by law, Angelides wrote.
“The additional time will allow the commission to produce and disseminate a report which best serves the public interest and more fully informs the president, the Congress and the American people,” wrote Angelides, a Democrat who formerly served as California’s treasurer.
Three Republicans on the 10-member FCIC voted against the delay and issued a statement yesterday that said it was imposed so the panel can issue a “book-length” version of the report at the same time it’s released to lawmakers.
Congress created the FCIC to investigate the causes of the 2008 financial crisis, which triggered the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and led to U.S. bailouts for companies such as American International Group Inc. The panel, which has heard testimony from executives including billionaire Warren Buffett and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein, has been beset by partisan disputes and staff departures throughout its 15-month existence.
‘Waste of Money’
“This has been a waste of money from the get-go,” said Lynn Turner, a former chief accountant at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Turner said he doubts the report “will really go out and nail anyone to the wall, so it likely doesn’t matter if it doesn’t come out until after hell has frozen over.”
Peter Wallison, a Republican FCIC member, has indicated he may issue a dissenting report with the backing of other Republicans, said two people briefed on his plans who declined to be identified before findings are released. Wallison, a former Treasury Department general counsel, didn’t return a phone call seeking comment.
FCIC spokesman Tucker Warren said he didn’t know whether Republicans would oppose the commission’s final report.
“Commission members continue to discuss and debate,” Warren said. “Until the commission’s work has concluded, we won’t know how the work will shake out.”
Republican Statement
The FCIC’s six Democratic members, including Angelides, all voted to postpone the report’s release. Republicans, including FCIC Vice Chairman Bill Thomas, dissented. Douglas Holtz-Eakin, a Republican who didn’t participate in the vote, joined his colleagues in a statement criticizing the delay.
“We believe a report containing the findings and conclusions of the FCIC on the causes of the financial crisis can be delivered by the statutory delivery date,” the statement said. “Republican commissioners are prepared to work to meet the deadline set forth in the statute.”
At least five members of the FCIC staff have left since January, including Matthew Cooper, the former Time magazine White House correspondent who had been hired to help write a book about the panel’s probe.
The FCIC has also changed publishers for the book version of its report. After initially reaching a deal with Hachette Book Group’s Little, Brown, the commission now plans to use PublicAffairs Books.
$8 Million Budget
Neither Cooper’s departure nor the change in publishing companies affected the timing of the report, Warren said.
Legislation approving the FCIC’s formation gave the panel an $8 million budget and said the commission “shall” submit a report to the president and Congress containing its findings on “December 15, 2010.”
The text of the legislation also said the panel may use a 60-day period after the Dec. 15 deadline for activities including “disseminating the final report.”
To contact the reporter on this story: Jesse Westbrook in Washington at jwestbrook1@bloomberg.net .
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Lawrence Roberts at lroberts13@bloomberg.net
Find out more about Bloomberg for iPad: http://m.bloomberg.com/http://abcnews.go.com/
http://abcnews.go.com/
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Bernanke tells us there is no inflation. Theoretically he is right. But we feel inflation, households think we are 2.7% higher in price than a year ago, a great deal in today's environment. That's an unusual gap but some economists are theorizing it is because food and energy costs have risen. In the sentiment survey there was not a lot of optimism about next year on cost of goods to the consumer, a telling tale.
Thursday, November 18, 2010
Impossible to Trade
We have sold the put profitably on November 16th, and will only hold open our November 560C which had highs of 1.45, lows of 1.09 and was not tradeable.
Following are what the chartists say:
-- RETAIL SPDR REMAINS RELATIVELY STRONG WITH FALLING FLAG
-- STOCKS CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THE EURO
-- EURO STOXX 50 TESTS IMPORTANT SUPPORT LEVEL
-- TREASURY YIELDS LEAD THE DOLLAR
-- VIX CHALLENGES RESISTANCE WITH BIG SURGE
-- VIX TRIGGERS MOMENTUM SIGNAL SIMILAR TO APRIL
We will continue to only hold the OTM Call today, waiting for a bias to establish
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All of the money we have been printing has to go somewhere, and emerging markets, and the commodities they gobble, offer some obvious stories.
Wednesday, November 17, 2010
The State of Currency as Commodities
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The state of currency as commodities and how they are interpreted is an important part of option trading. When the USD was worthless a few weeks ago, Gold and Silver were hitting all time highs.